This video analyzes the financial performance of each 2026 Oscar-nominated film, comparing their budgets to their box office earnings (0:00). It reveals how several critically acclaimed movies, despite their nominations, struggled to break even or were outright financial losses.
Here's a breakdown of the films discussed:
- Bugonia (0:17): Cost $100 million to produce and market but made only $39.5 million at the box office due to a short theatrical run and early streaming release. Despite this, Emma Stone received her seventh Oscar nomination, becoming the youngest woman to do so (1:06).
- F1 (1:35): A Jerry Bruckheimer blockbuster that surprised many with its Best Picture nomination. The film leveraged extensive product placement, bringing in $40 million in sponsorships, which significantly offset its production costs (2:00).
- Frankenstein (3:14): Guillermo Del Toro's long-awaited adaptation, costing Netflix $120 million, was primarily an Oscar play. It secured nine nominations but made only $480,000 in a limited theatrical release (3:46). However, it garnered 76 million views on Netflix in 10 days, demonstrating success through streaming metrics (4:10).
- Hamnet (4:38): With a budget of $30-$35 million, this film is expected to lose money despite its eight Oscar nominations. It struggled to attract audiences, with its opening weekend gross surpassed by a re-release of The Shining (4:57).
- Marty Supreme (6:10): A24's most expensive film at $90 million, it has made $97.2 million so far but is far from its break-even point of $250 million. Despite nine nominations and Timothy Chalamet's potential Best Actor win, it's not financially successful (6:31).
- One Battle After Another (7:35): This film, with 13 nominations, is a "massive financial disaster." It cost $175 million and made $206 million worldwide, needing $400 million to break even. Warner Brothers is projected to lose over $100 million on this R-rated political thriller (7:51).
- The Secret Agent (9:24): A Brazilian political thriller that cost $5 million and made $6.1 million worldwide, showing impressive legs at the box office despite limited release (10:01). It received Oscar nominations for Best Picture and Best Lead Actor.
- Sentimental Value (10:48): An $8 million Norwegian drama that secured nine Oscar nominations and is set to become the highest-grossing Norwegian-language film of all time (11:40).
- Sinners (11:56): This original R-rated horror film broke Oscar records with 16 nominations. It cost $100 million and grossed $368 million worldwide, making it the first original movie in nearly a decade to earn over $200 million domestically (12:38). Ryan Coogler secured full ownership of the film after 25 years (13:01).
The box office performance of Sinners was unique for several reasons:
- Exceptional Hold (13:11): After opening with $48 million, it dropped only 6% in its second weekend, making $45 million. Horror movies typically see significant drops after their opening weekend, but Sinners held strong like a Marvel film.
- A Grade from Cinema Score (13:28): It received an "A" grade from Cinema Score audiences. The video highlights that no other horror film in 35 years of Cinema Score polling had ever achieved an "A" grade before.
- High Gross for an Original Film (13:42): Sinners made $368 million worldwide. It was also the first original movie of any kind to make over $200 million domestically in nearly a decade.
- Train Dreams (14:01): Netflix acquired this film for $10 million and gave it a minimal theatrical release to qualify for Oscars, resulting in no significant box office numbers. It secured four nominations (14:05)
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